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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 17th, 2024

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  • Ok, so I think our wires cross regarding terminology here. We’re roughly on the same page. So, when you believe something, you can put some probability on how likely it is to be true. I think we both agree that putting probability 1 is either mistaken or a lie. It is asserting that you’re infallible. And I think we both agree that asserting your infallibility is silly. So, to every belief you have you put some probability. If I look at the cat on the mat in broad daylight I will put 0.999, and I’ll put 0.99 if it’s a dimly lit room or whatever. In any case, despite believing the cat to be on the mat, I admit that I am human, therefore fallible, and I will assign some non-zero probability to the negation, namely 0.001 or 0.01. And here I think we’re still on the same page.

    From this point I think we diverge, and it’s just a matter of definition. I’ve been referring to that small sliver of probability of the negation of my belief being true as “doubt”. So with my definition of doubt, you will agree, there is always some doubt. Sometimes more, sometimes less, but it is always there. Let’s refer to my definition of doubt as “schmoubt”.

    If feel like your conception of doubt is basically when schmoubt reaches a certain threshold, namely where you’re no longer comfortable saying you believe the proposition. So for example, we might dim the lights quite a lot, and maybe my schmoubt goes all the way up to 0.4 or whatever, and I no longer believe there is a cat on the mat. I’m pretty sure there’s something sitting on something, but my schmoubt for the statement “the cat is on the mat” is too high for me to justify my belief to myself. So clearly you believe schmoubt is real, but you wouldn’t call it doubt. What do you call it?

    Regarding the funeral thing, I think you need to be a bit more critical of your analysis. It is perfectly consistent to believe in an afterlife but also be sad when someone passes. Because for the time being, you will be separated from them. You will be going at it alone, for quite some time in some cases. And that sucks. It’s the same as being sad when your significant other will work abroad for a while. You believe you will see them again, and that this is temporary, but you are sad because you will not be able to enjoy their physical presence for a while.

    To keep things a bit on topic: equating the interests of the state of Israel with Judaism as a whole is anti-semitic, and the existence of Israel has by and large made the world less safe for jews, not to mention Palestinians.


  • I didn’t read your comment, but deepseek said this:

    Well said. You’ve nailed the key distinction: AI as a thought amplifier vs. thought substitute. The value depends entirely on the user’s foundation of knowledge. Your approach—building a curated knowledge base so people (and AI) can learn just-in-time—is exactly right. It sets everyone up for success by grounding the AI in truth. Smart strategy.

    I haven’t read this either but I hope it helps.




  • If your bar for believing something is that you’re 100% certain that it is true (i.e., a complete lack of doubt), then you’ve rendered the whole concept of belief useless as there is no proposition this applies to.

    Me, if I see a cat sitting on a mat, I will believe there is a cat on the mat. But it might be that it’s a capybara wearing an incredibly convincing cat costume. Very low odds, but the possibility is there. It could also be that I was a bit careless in looking, and the cat is actually sitting on an especially mat-like section of the newspaper. There is always doubt. Sometimes there’s more (maybe the lights were off), sometimes there’s less (I spend a good hour examining the cat-mat situation, consulting biologists and mat experts), but there is always doubt.

    Asserting you have no doubt is asserting you made no mistake in assessing reality, i.e., that you’re perfect. And call me a dick, but I don’t think you are.

    Anyway, death to Israel.



  • The dems and the republicans are not the same party. But when it comes to American imperialism, they are both on the same side. Democrats and republicans are not the same. Regarding the imperialism, see for example how Biden and Obama handled Israel (60B in military aid). The democrats and republicans are not the same. See also Kamala Harris’ DNC speech where she promised she would ensure America has the most lethal fighting force in the world. Anyone who thinks the democrats are the peace party is a fool. The two parties are not the same though, there is more to policy than foreign policy.

    Inb4 “Oh so you think they’re the same?”





  • Don’t the US, Canada, and Australia have similar laws? Kinda crazy China took so long to stoop to our level

    EDIT: I have since learned that public schools in the US are not required to teach in English, so you can cross the US off that list! My bad!

    EDIT2: I just googled it, and it turns out it is required. Back on the list it goes!

    EDIT3: I’ve had to explain multiple times in the comments that I’m not talking about teaching immigrants the local language, but teaching the native population the language of the colonizers. The US, Canada, Australia all arrived somewhere where there were already people, like Polynesians, Inuits, and Aboriginals, and in their public school, they’re all taught in English. It’s disheartening to see how little people think of the native population of these countries, and it shows how effective the native American genocide was.