• 133 Posts
  • 50 Comments
Joined 8 months ago
cake
Cake day: August 4th, 2025

help-circle

  • Are Iranian ‘sleeper cells’ a threat to Canadians? Here’s what intelligence experts say

    … Anxiety around sleeper cells tends to resurface whenever tensions escalate between the U.S. and Iran. But one Canadian security expert says their deployment is not the modus operandi of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in Canada … [diirector of the national security program at the University of Ottawa’s Professional Development Institute Dan] Stanton, who worked with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS) for more than 30 years, says the actual threat lies in Tehran’s use of local criminal networks for targeted intimidation and violence.

    “They don’t use sleeper cells in that sense of deep cover agents. They use what we would call criminal proxies. These are people that would do surveillance, harass people or try to kill people.”

    … Thomas Juneau, who teaches at the University of Ottawa’s Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, says the IRGC targets the families of Iranian dissidents as a way to punish or silence them. “There have been multiple documented cases … parents, siblings, close friends, other family members who are still in Iran who will be aggressively interrogated by intelligence services,” said Juneau.

    “And in more extreme cases, [they] will be physically beaten, tortured or [suffer] other kinds of negative consequences, such as financial assets frozen, careers suspended, jobs lost.”




























  • Canada is by far not the only country to face a population decline. Only a few states (mainly in South America and particularly in Africa) will see population growth.

    Among the larger economies, China is the country with the most severe decrease in population according to researchers, while the country is less prepared than many others. In most Western countries and other democratic states like Japan and South Korea, societies that underwent fertility decline benefited from a so-called ‘demographic dividend’ - driven by a long period of economic growth with a relatively large working population compared to smaller numbers of dependents younger than 15 and older than 65. China’s dividend period started later (in the 1980s) than in other countries, and their fertility rate is now declining faster. This left China with a relatively low per capita income and, therefore, fewer resources to tackle the issues of an aging population.

    Simply speaking, China got old before it got rich. This and the fact that China has a far less developed social welfare and pension system than we in the West will be an issue that is going to share the Chinese economy in the long run, but so far there are no clear signal how the country is addressing this.

    So Canada and most (all?) democratic states are much better prepared for this demographic challenges ahead of us.






  • According to the World Inequality Index, between 1999 and 2024, the top-1% in Canada grew their wealth from 26% to 29%.

    In the same period in other countries, the top-1% changed their wealth:

    • in Australia and New Zealand, more or less unchanged at around 23%
    • in Europe, more or less unchanged around 25%
    • in the USA, grew from 31% to 35%
    • in China, grew from 19% to 30%
    • in Russia, grew from 40% to 49%
    • in Latin America, unchanged at around 36%
    • Oceania, grew from 24% to 27%
    • Sub-Saharan Africa, shrank from 38% to 34%

    Worldwide, the top-1% share was stable at around 37%.

    In the same period 1999-2024, the wealth of the bottom-50% in Canada slightly shrank from 15% to 14%. In other countries:

    • in Australia and New Zealand, more or less unchanged at around 5%
    • in Europe, more or less unchanged around 3%
    • in the USA, grew from 0.6% to 1%
    • in China, shrank from 14% to 6%
    • in Russia, shrank from almost 7% to less than 3%
    • in Latin America, unchanged at 2%
    • Oceania, decreased from 3% to 2%
    • Sub-Saharan Africa, slightly increased from below 2% to 2.1%

    Worldwide, the bottom-50% grew their share of the total wealth slightly from 7% to 8%.

    Source for the top 1%, here for the bottom 50%.

    You can play around in the linked diagrams for other countries and regions.


  • A more comprehensive report proposes measures to address this issue:

    … While Canada forced Chinese divestment from lithium projects in 2022 following national security reviews, Beaver Brook antimony operations remain under Chinese control despite similar strategic importance …

    Enhanced foreign investment screening mechanisms should evaluate ongoing operational control rather than limiting reviews to acquisition transactions. Strategic assets under foreign ownership require continuous monitoring to ensure operations align with national security interests …

    Policy recommendations include:

    Apply uniform foreign ownership criteria across all critical minerals regardless of current market attention levels … Coordinate with allied nations to develop alternative supply chains and shared strategic reserves … Government procurement policies could prioritise suppliers with diversified, ally-based supply chains even at premium costs …

    Source